1 Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University (Yangling, China)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29202/up/17/7
Received: 20 August 2025 / Accepted: 4 December 2025 / Published: 30 December 2025
View Full-Text Review Reports Cite This Paper
Abstract
Keywords: Agricultural productivity, rural development, CO2 emission, rural investment, infrastructure, Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG-ARDL), Uzbekistan, transition economies, sustainable agriculture
References
ADB, A. A., Furceri, D., and IMF, P. T. (2016) The macroeconomic effects of public investment: Evidence from advanced economies. Journal of Macroeconomics, 50: 224-240
Arabov, N., Nasimov, D., Abduramanov, X., Utemuratova, G., & Lutfullo, I. (2024) Addressing the economic impacts of climate change in Uzbekistan: Challenges and strategies. E3S Web of Conferences
Bobojonov, I., and Aw-Hassan, A. (2014) Impacts of climate change on farm income security in Central Asia: An integrated modeling approach. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 188: 245-255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2014.02.033
Canton, H. (2021) Asian Development Bank – ADB. In The Europa Directory of International Organizations 2021. Routledge: 444-448
Christiaensen, L., and Todo, Y. (2013) Poverty reduction during the rural-urban transformation: the role of the missing middle. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper (6445)
Dumitrescu, E.-I., and Hurlin, C. (2012) Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4): 1450-1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014
Eshov, M., Amirov, L., and Askarova, M. (2021) Development of the agricultural sector and its importance in Uzbekistan. E3S Web of Conferences
Fan, S., and Rao, N. (2008) Public investment, growth and rural poverty. Public expenditures, growth, and poverty: 56-108
Hasanov, S., and Sanaev, G. (2018) Non-farm employment trends and policy in rural areas of Samarkand region (Uzbekistan)
Hermans, K., Djanibekov, N., Abdullaev, I., Abduvalieva, N., Assubayeva, A., Blondin, S., Bobojonov, I., Conrad, C., Herzfeld, T., and Kansiime, J. (2024) Future research directions for understanding the interconnections between climate change, water scarcity, and mobility in rural Central Asia. Climate and Development: 1-10
Imai, K. S., Gaiha, R., and Garbero, A. (2017) Poverty reduction during the rural–urban transformation: Rural development is still more important than urbanisation. Journal of Policy Modeling, 39(6): 963-982. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.10.002
Ji, X., Ren, J., and Ulgiati, S. (2019) Towards urban-rural sustainable cooperation: Models and policy implication. Journal of Cleaner Production, 213: 892-898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.097
Kakhramonov, V. (2025) Future climate resilence strategy for irrigated agriculture in Amu Darya river baisn of Uzbekistan and amid the Qosh Tepa Canal Project in Afghanistan. IMRAS, 8(6): 274-285
Kochnakyan, A., Khosla, S. K., Buranov, I., Hofer, K., Hankinson, D., and Finn, J. (2013) Uzbekistan: Energy/power sector issues note. World Bank, Washington, DC
Macours, K., and Swinnen, J. F. M. (2008) Rural–Urban Poverty Differences in Transition Countries. World Development, 36(11): 2170-2187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2007.11.003
Martínez-Zarzoso, I., and Bengochea-Morancho, A. (2004) Pooled mean group estimation of an environmental Kuznets curve for CO2. Economics Letters, 82(1): 121-126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2003.07.008
Mirzabaev, A., Kerr, R. B., Hasegawa, T., Pradhan, P., Wreford, A., von der Pahlen, M. C. T., and Gurney-Smith, H. (2023) Severe climate change risks to food security and nutrition. Climate Risk Management, 39: 100473
Najjar, D., Devkota, R., and Feldman, S. (2022) Feminization, rural transformation, and wheat systems in post-soviet Uzbekistan. J Rural Stud, 92: 143-153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.03.025
Pedroni, P. (1999) Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 0305-9049
Pesaran, M. H. (2004) General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels, CESifo Working Paper, No. 1229. Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Pesaran, M. H. (2007) A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2): 265-312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. P. (1999) Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446): 621-634. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156
Phillips, P. C. B., and Sul, D. (2003) Dynamic panel estimation and homogeneity testing under cross section dependence. Econometrics Journal, 6: 217-259
Pomfret, R. (2019) The Central Asian economies in the twenty-first century: Paving a new silk road.
Pomfret, R., and Djanibekov, N. (2022) 30 years of farm restructuring and water management reforms in Central Asia. Central Asian Journal of Water Research, 8(1): 49-56.
Rudik, I. (2020) Optimal climate policy when damages are unknown. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 12(2): 340-373.
Sanli, D., and Gülbay Yigiteli, N. (2023) Do economic complexity and macroeconomic stability asymmetrically affect carbon emissions in OECD? Evidence from nonlinear panel ARDL approach. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(9): 22175-22198. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-03866-x
Silchenko, D., and Murray, U. (2023) Migration and climate change–the role of social protection. Climate Risk Management, 39: 100472.
Svanidze, M., Götz, L., Djuric, I., and Glauben, T. (2019) Food security and the functioning of wheat markets in Eurasia: a comparative price transmission analysis for the countries of Central Asia and the South Caucasus. Food Security, 11(3): 733-752
Syurikpayeva, A. O., Omirali, Z. O., Baigelova, N. E., Yntymakov, S. A., and Kurmanaliyeva, E. B. (2021) Comparative analysis of issues of the legal mechanism of consumer protection in Kazakhstan and foreign countries based on the norms of sustainable development. Rivista di studi sulla sostenibilita. 2021/2.
Tayirov, O., Karimov, I. V., Toshmamatov, A., and Shomirzayev, S. (2024) Rational Use of Water Resources in Agriculture (In the Case of Uzbekistan). International Journal of Business Diplomacy and Economy, 3(5): 142-146.
Tojiyeva, Z., and Ibragimov, L. (2021) Labour market and employment in Uzbekistan. Geografický casopis, 73(4): 359-374
Umair, M., Aizhan, A., Teymurova, V., and Chang, L. (2024) Does the disparity between rural and urban incomes affect rural energy poverty? Energy Strategy Reviews, 56: 101584
Wang, X., Chen, Y., Fang, G., Li, Z., and Liu, Y. (2022) The growing water crisis in Central Asia and the driving forces behind it. Journal of Cleaner Production, 378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134574
Wang, X., Wang, Y., and Zhao, Y. (2022) Financial permeation and rural poverty reduction Nexus: Further insights from counties in China. China Economic Review, 76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2022.101863
Xie, J., Yang, G., Chi, X., and Wu, S. (2025) Does the Mode of Rural Industrial Integration Matter? Empirical Evidence From Rural Household Livelihoods. Agribusiness.
Yuldashev, N., Nabokov, V., Nekrasov, K., and Tursunov, B. (2020) Modernization and intensification of agriculture in the republic of Uzbekistan. E3S Web of Conferences.
