Features of Computer Methods in Political Forecasting

by Uliana Movchan^1
1 Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv (Kyiv, Ukraine)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29202/up/3/4
Received: November 18, 2018 / Accepted: November 30, 2018 / Published: December 25, 2018

This paper reveals the essence of computer methods of political forecasting, their classification and characteristics of different groups of methods. Article explore the classification of forecasting methods according to different criteria. We analyze the differences of computer and theoretical (expert) methods. In addition, we explore the advantages of using computer methods in political forecasting.
The purpose of the article is to study the peculiarities of the computer methods application in political forecasting. The principal results: classification of computer methods were created, as well as a detailed study of their features in the process of political forecasting. The major conclusions: forecasting and making its results mathematically clear. These methods provide the opportunity to reuse one model for different situations in political forecasting, unlike theoretical methods. The studying of this problem allows us to discover diverse perspectives of research in political forecasting, namely: the development of new methods of political forecasting, the study of the possibilities of integrating the methods of other sciences into the process of political forecasting.

Keywords: computer methods; political forecasting; political analysis; prognostication

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Movchan, Uliana (2018) Features of Computer Methods in Political Forecasting. Ukrainian Policymaker, Volume 3, 29-35. https://doi.org/10.29202/up/3/4